In the end, I don't believe Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will run for re-election. Whether or not the health care bill he muscled through the Senate becomes law, the 70-year-old will bow out of his race for a fifth term.
The major reason has nothing to do with his many verbal gaffes, the latest of which exploded over the weekend. The simple fact is that he probably can't win re-election -- almost no incumbent senator as far down in the polls has come back to win. Asked if Mr. Reid is finished, NBC Political Director Chuck Todd said yesterday, "I think so. I do -- absolutely."
A new Mason-Dixon survey of Nevada voters finds Mr. Reid's favorable rating at just 33%, with 60% of voters disapproving of his role in the health-care debate. He trails three major GOP opponents jostling to run against him in their party's primary. He loses 50% to 40% to former GOP state chair Sue Lowden, to real estate developer Danny Tarkanian by 49% to 41%, and by 45% to 40% to former state legislator Sharron Angle. Extensive media buys by Mr. Reid to showcase his record of Senate accomplishment have done nothing to move his poll numbers.
Nevada political observers say Democrats are making contingency plans in case Mr. Reid leaves office, possibly recruiting one of the state's two Democratic congresswomen to replace him. There's even talk of coaxing former Democratic Senator and Nevada Governor Richard Bryan out of retirement to run.
Even worse, Mr. Reid's weakness is dragging down the candidacy of his son Rory, a local Las Vegas official and the unopposed Democratic candidate for governor. In polls, the younger Reid loses to former judge Brian Sandoval, his likely Republican opponent, by 22 points. Should Las Vegas' flamboyant Mayor Oscar Goodman run as an independent, Mr. Reid would place third with just 20% of the vote.
Nevada political columnist Jon Ralston says the prospect of having two Reids holding statewide office strikes many state voters as "very strange," and the attempt to create a dynasty is hurting both men's political chances. It's "reverse symbiosis," he told the Washington Post. Despite attempts to keep their political paths separate, the two men share a growing frustration that the family name no longer is a desirable brand.
Rory Reid insists he's in the race to stay, and says his father will also press on: "My father is a fighter." But that's what they said about scandal-plagued Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd, who was said to resist strongly any suggestion that he retire given that his father lost his Senate seat in 1970 under a similar ethical cloud. Yet last week the 68-year-old Mr. Dodd recognized political reality and announced his retirement.
Mr. Reid must know that his candidacy is dragging down his son's chances of political advancement. His political weakness and missteps are also stirring rumblings of discontent inside the Democratic caucus. Two Democratic Senators have told me that it's no secret that New York Senator Chuck Schumer is maneuvering to take over from Mr. Reid as Majority Leader, and that even should Mr. Reid win another term, he faces a possible challenge for his leadership post. Such a challenge would be conducted by secret ballot, putting Mr. Reid in the position of potentially suffering an ignominious defeat at the hands of his colleagues.
Because he's from a gambling state like Nevada, Mr. Reid knows all about the country song that says "You have to know when to hold 'em and know when to fold 'em." Look for Mr. Reid to find an opportune moment to fold his hand in the next few months.
BY JOHN FUND
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL / POLITICAL DIARY ONLINE
TUESDAY, JANUARY 12, 2010
BARRY SOETORO aka BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA
He is not eligible to be
President of the United States
because he is not a Natural Born Citizen
as required by Article Two, Section One, Clause Five of the United States Constitution.
This is a fact REGARDLESS of
where he was born (Mombassa, Hawaii, Chicago, Mecca or Mars).
He is not eligible
because he was not born of
BOTH OF WHOM WERE UNITED STATES CITIZENS
AT THE TIME OF HIS BIRTH
as required by the Constitution.
Barack Hussein Obama Jr. is not eligible to be President of the United States because – according to public admissions made by him – his “birth status was governed” by the United Kingdom. Obama further admits he was a citizen of the United Kingdom and Colonies at birth.
Since Barack Hussein Obama Jr. was, if born in the state of Hawaii, a dual citizen, who – according to his own State Department – owed allegiance to the Queen of England and United Kingdom at the time of his birth – he cannot therefore be a “natural born” citizen of the US according to Article 2, Section 1, Clause 5 of the US Constitution.
His father, who did not live in the United States for more than a couple of years, was a subject/ciitizen
of Kenya/Great Britain at the time of Barack’s birth and afterwards, AND further, as Barack himself admitted on his website during the 2008 campaign, Barack was therefore born SUBJECT TO THE GOVERNANCE OF GREAT BRITAIN.
Here is a direct quote from Obama's "Fight the Smears/Fact Check" 2008 website:
‘When Barack Obama Jr. was born on Aug. 4,1961, in Honolulu, Kenya was a British colony, still part of the United Kingdom’s dwindling empire. As a Kenyan native, Barack Obama Sr. was a British subject whose citizenship status was governed by The British Nationality Act of 1948. That same act governed the status of Obama Sr.‘s children…’ “
The FACT that he was not born of TWO US CITIZEN PARENTS is all that matters. The question of his birth certificate is a distraction (a distraction fostered by Obama’s supporters?) that ought not to occupy our time and resources. BUT if you are really convinced of the value of the COLB (certificate of live birth) that Obama posted on his website, see this:
Also, it is possible that he is not a United States
citizen at all through his mother if he was born in Kenya, as three witnesses have testified. The reason is because his mother could not pass her US citizenship on to her son because she did not live continuously in the United States for five full years after her fourteenth birthday as required by the US immigration law in effect during that period of time.
Check it out:
Also, an excellent introductory primer on Obama Presiidential Eligibility is to be found at:
His usurpation can only be corrected (1) by Congress through his Impeachment and Removal [something which will never happen in a Congress controlled by Pelosi/Reid], or (2) it can be
corrected by his resignation, which could happen if the public presssure on him to resign becomes great enough, or (3) by his removal by the United States Supreme Court affirming a Quo Warranto decision of the United States Federal District Court for the District of Columbia [which process Attorney General Eric Holder would never allow to even begin] or (4) by an amendment to the Constitution,
which will never happen because that again would require the agreement of a Congress controlled by Pelosi/Reid.
HERE IS THE QUESTION WHICH EVERY AMERICAN CITIZEN SHOULD BE ASKING HIS OR HER CONGRESSMAN AND SENATORS
“During the 2008 election, then Senator Obama published a statement at his website which said that his birth status was ‘governed’ by the British Nationality Act of 1948. Can you please tell me, and the American people, how a person governed - at birth - by British law, can be a natural born citizen of the United States and thus constitutionally eligible to be President of the United States?”
- Leo Rugiens